2017年8月13日 星期日

大地之春 永豐期貨台指選擇權盤前-美股反轉收黑 台股萬點關前震盪

永豐期貨台指選擇權盤前-美股反轉收黑 台股萬點關前震盪

商品訊息描述:


◆期貨走勢

台指期週四下跌 65 點至 9897 點。價差方面,台指期轉為逆價差 - 0.8 點,電子期轉為逆價差 - 2.84 點,金融期轉為逆價差 - 2.13 點。現貨部分,三大法人賣超 5.44 億元;而在台指期淨部位方面,三大法人多單減碼 7002 口,淨多單降至 12973 口,其中外資多單減碼 6384 口,淨多單降至 50820 口;另外十大交易人中的特定法人,全月份台指期多單減碼 7633 口,淨多單降至 7780 口。台指籌碼面顯示目前法人對指數持中性偏多預期。

期貨行情走勢方面,昨日美國 ADP 就業飛機農藥數據表現亮眼激勵美股道瓊盤中一度大漲逾百點,但隨後 FOMC 公佈會議紀錄後美股反而收黑下跌,受此影響今日台指期以下跌 32 點開出,現貨開盤後指標股台積電、大立光均走弱,加上新台幣盤中貶逾一角,資金面存在轉弱疑慮,所幸午盤過後跌幅未進一步擴大,期貨終場開高走低以下跌 65 點作收。技術面觀察,週四大盤開低走低以帶上下影線黑 K 再度失守 9900 關卡,而成交量能縮小至 900 億水準,短線量價結構為震盪偏多型態。以日線型態來看,目前指數日 K 雖收黑但仍守在所有均線之上,技術面為震盪偏多形態,操作上建議可觀察指數若拉回昨日長紅 K 低點有守,可逢低偏多操作,並請嚴設停損。

◆選擇權分析

選擇權從成交量來觀察,買權集中在 10000 點,賣權集中在 9800 點。選擇權未平倉量部分,買權未平倉最大量集中在 10200 點,賣權未平倉最大量集中在 9600 點。全月份未平倉量 put/call ratio 值由 1.24 升至 1.3,大於中性值 1,反應籌碼面為偏多架構。買權平均隱含波動率由 10.69% 升至 10.86%,賣權平均隱含波動率由 13.26% 降至 12.93%,買權升賣權降。選擇權部位顯示偏多。

本投資研究報告由永豐期貨股份有限公司版權所有,未經授權,禁止轉載無人機農藥節錄。本資料內容僅供參考,客戶應審慎考量本身之需求與投資大地之春風險,本公司恕不負任何法律責任,亦不作任何保證。

(以上專欄內容乃筆者個人專業意見,誠供讀者參考;謹提醒讀者金融市場波動難料,務必小心風險)
 




2017年8月5日 星期六

大地之春 世.界.之-窗-Siri怎麼學會說上海話?

世.界.之?窗-Siri怎麼學會說上海話?

商品訊息描述:

工商時報【Nikki Lu】

閱讀暖身蘋果、亞馬遜、微軟以及Google都提供語音助理服務,孰優孰劣?根據路透社報導,蘋果的語音助理Siri在辨識語音、回答問題方面或許不再具優勢,但Siri一大優勢是能說最多種語言,現在正要學習說上海話,我們來看看它怎麼做到。進入本文前,想想以下單字英文怎麼說:A.量身訂做 B.(說話)含糊的 C.規模化

The voice-assistant wars are in *full swing, with Apple, Amazon, Microsoft and大樓隔熱紙 now Google all offering electronic assistants to take your commands.

蘋果、亞馬遜、微軟以及谷歌都推出了接受人類指令的語音助手服務,一場語音助手戰已全面打響。

Many researchers believe that Apple has squandered its lead when it comes to understanding speech and answering questions. But there is at least one thing Siri can do that the other assistants cannot: speak 21 languages localized for 36 countries, a very important capability in a smartphone ma大地之春rket where most sales are outside the United States.

許多研究人員認為在語音辨識和回答問題方面,蘋果的領先優勢已消耗殆盡。不過有件事目前只有Siri做到:會說36個國家的21種語言。此功能在智慧手機市場極為重要,因為大部分智慧手機都銷往美國以外地區。

Microsoft Cortana, by contrast, has eight languages (A)tailored for 13 countries. Google's Assistant, which began in its Pixel phone but has moved to other Android devices, speaks four languages. Amazon's Alexa features only English and German. Siri will even soon start to learn Shanghainese, a special dialect of Wu Chinese spoken only around Shanghai.

微軟Cortana為13個國家制定了8種語言。Google助理會說4種語言,這項服務出自Google自家手機Pixel,現已開放其他Android系統手機使用。亞馬遜的Alexa只會說英語和德語。而Siri馬上要開始學上海話了,這是一種只在上海及其周邊地區使用的吳語方言。

At Apple, the company has started working on a new language by bringing in humans to read passages in a range of accents and dialects, which are then transcribed by hand so the computer has an exact representation of the spoken text to learn from, said Alex Acero, head of the speech team at Apple. Apple also captures a range of sounds in a variety of voices. From there, an acoustic model is built that tries to predict words sequences.

蘋果語音團隊負責人Alex Acero說,要發展新語言功能時,會讓有各種方言和口音的真人唸出文字段落,然後再手動轉錄,這樣電腦就可以擁有準確的學習樣本。蘋果還會從不同的聲音中捕捉各種語音,接著建立一個聲學模型,以嘗試預測字元序列。

Then Apple deploys “dictation mode,” its text-to-speech translator, in the new language, Acero said. When customers use dictation mode, Apple captures a small percentage of the audio recordings and makes them anonymous. The recordings, complete with background noise and (B)mumbled words, are transcribed by humans, a process that helps cut the speech recognition error rate in half.

Acero說,接著蘋果會在新語言中部署「聽寫模式」,一種文本和語音之間的翻譯器。當使用者使用聽寫模式時,蘋果會抓取音訊錄音中的一小部分,然後對其匿名處理。這些錄音包含了背景雜音和含糊的詞語,由真人轉錄則可將語音辨識的錯誤率降低一半。

After enough data has been gathered and a voice actor has been recorded to play Siri in a new language, Siri is released with answers to what Apple estimates will be the most common questions, Acero said. Once released, Siri learns more about what real-world users ask and is updated every two weeks with more tweaks.

收集了足夠資料,也由配音員為Siri錄製講新語言的聲音後,Siri即可發布,發布時Siri能回答的是蘋果預估最常見的問題。發布後,Siri從用戶的實際問題學習,每兩周調整並更新。

But script-writing does not (C)scale, said Charles Jolley, creator of an intelligent assistant named Ozlo.“You can't hire enough writers to come up with the system you'd need in every language. You have to synthesize the answers,” he said.

不過,智慧助理Ozlo的創造者Charles Jolley說,撰寫腳本無法規模化,「不可能聘僱夠多的作者,來打造每種語言所需的系統,必須人工合成回答。」

The founders of Viv, a startup founded by Siri's original creators that Samsung acquired last year, is working on just that.“Viv was built to specifically address the scaling issue for intelligent assistants,” said Dag Kittlaus, the CEO and co-founder of Viv. “The only way to leapfrog today's limited functionality versions is to open the system up and let the world teach them.”

「Siri之父」的新創公司Viv,正著手解決這個問題。這間公司去年由三星收購。Viv的聯合創始人兼CEO Dag Kittlaus說:「Viv想解決智慧助理的規模化問題,想要讓當今功能侷限的版本升級,唯一的方法就是開放系統,讓世界來教它們。」

資料來源:路透社

世界公民,這是商業英語的last mile!

很多人都說,英文好薪水會加倍,可以換到外商工作、可以更輕鬆溝通……英文確實可以為你做很多很多事,但是,它能為你的人生帶來的最大祝福是:找回失去的自信、耐心、膽量……還有,花了二十年還在跟英文纏鬥的人。人生不要一輩子都在跟英文纏鬥吧,要嘛放棄它不要有罪惡感,要不就征服它帶來成就感,英文學習的最後一站,報名電話(台北)02-27215033、(新竹)03-5782199,www.core-corner.com。

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